LAST WEEK:1-3 (25%) CAREER:5-9 (35%)
Northwestern and Utah buried us last week. On to week 4.
Texas (-7.5) vs Texas Tech
Mizzou ML (+100) @ Boston College
UCLA (-3.5) @ Stanford- 2 unit play
Kent State (+14.5) @ Maryland
North Carolina (-12.5) @ Georgia Tech
Syracuse (+6.5) vs Liberty- last minute swinging nutsack add.
Cal (+7.5) @ Washington
will add more if I play more.
LAST WEEK:1-4(20%) THIS SEASON:4-6(40%)
Im changing the way I go about giving picks. No longer going to give out 5 a week, from this day on it will just be an updating list of all of my plays for that given week. Let’s get back over .500
USC -7 (-105) @ Washington State- took this at 8.5. took it again at 7. like them both.
Boise State -3.5 (-110) vs Oklahoma State- Pokes toughest test yet comes Saturday night on the Smurf Turf.
UMass +21 (-110) vs Eastern Michigan- number has moved away from me. I think these teams are more comparable than 3 scores. could be in over my head but I think this is by far the best Umass team in the Walt Bell era.
Cincinatti -3.5 (-110)@ Indiana- Cincy shows out on big stage. Defense overwhelms Indiana.
Northwestern -3 (-110) at Duke-smelly pick but I think the Wildcats are closer to 7 points better than Duke.
LSU Team Total under 40.5 vs Central Michigan- LSU offense overrated. Fire up.
3 Team Tease (+180): USC -2.5/Notre Dame -1/Utah -1
DraftKings 33% boost 4 Team Parley (+1053): Minnesota ML/Boston College ML/Northwestern-2.5/West Virginia-2.5
Im eyeballing a few other plays. Most notably Penn State -4, Alabama -14, Minnesota ML. will update if I make them.
LAST WEEK:3-2 (60%) SEASON:3-2 (60%)
9/11- Miami Ohio at Minnesota -19 (-110)
The Gophers regroup on a long week of rest after a tough loss to Ohio State. Tanner Morgan and these wideouts will have an easier time finding a groove against a much worse secondary than they saw Thursday night. 38-17 Ski-U-Mah.
9/11- Iowa at Iowa State -3.5 (-110)*
*I have yet to bet this game because it seems like everyone is on the Hawkeyes. I have a feeling it will get down to 3 and I will take it there*
If not, I will settle for 3.5. Cyclones coming off a routine sleepy opener vs UNI and while Iowa routed the Hoosiers at Kinnick (2 Defensive TDs). I think Iowa State opens it up in this week 2 rivalry game. Cy 23 Hawk 16.
9/11- Missouri ML (+180) at Kentucky
Similar to my logic last week with UGA, I think this game is close to 50/50 so i’ll happily take +180 on either side. Mizzou looked sluggish against the Chips last week but both these teams know how much this game means for division standing. Tigers 27-24.
9/11- Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin -25 (-110)
Wisconsin had the most uninspiring week 1 in the power 5 and looks to clean things up on offense after 3 red zone turnovers. Look for the offense to open things up for QB Mertz against some inferior competition. 37-10 Badgers.
9/11- Utah -6 (-110) at BYU
The Holy War! one of my favorite rivalries in CFB. BYU is still regrouping after the loss of Zach Wilson and Jaren Hall just ain’t it. Utah cruises in the 2H. 27-13 Utes.
I am shifting my attention to predicting this years Power 5 conference finishes and CFB Playoff.
Texas A&M 10-2
Georgia 34 Alabama 27
Ohio State 12-0
Penn State 8-4
Ohio State 27 Wisconsin 23
Iowa State 9-3
Oklahoma 33 Iowa State 31
NC State 8-4
Florida State 7-5
North Carolina 10-2
North Carolina 28 Clemson 27
PAC 12 North
Pac 12 South
Utah 27 Oregon 24
College Football Playoff
- Ohio State Buckeyes* 13-0
- Georgia Bulldogs* 12-1
- Oklahoma Sooners* 12-1
- Alabama Crimson Tide 12-1
Ohio State 33 Alabama 27
Georgia 38 Oklahoma 31
Georgia Bulldogs 28 Ohio State Buckeyes 24
J.T Daniels makes his case to be the number 1 pick in the draft and Kirby Smart finally gets the Championship monkey off his back.
CFB is back and so am I. Let’s go!
8/28- Nebraska -6.5 (-114) at Illinois
Nebraska played their worst game of the year in 2020 vs the Illini and haven’t forgotten. I think Scott Frost is coaching for his job week 1 while Bilema has some time to instill his culture. Corn win 34-20.
9/3- North Carolina -5.5 (-110) at Virginia Tech
I am fading Fuente and the Hokies in 2021 and it starts week 1 with a formidable opponent in the Mac Brown led UNC Tar Heels. Although I think the home environment will play a factor and this game will be close early, I also think UNC just has too much talent and too much to prove to keep this thing close for long. Carolina has a far better coach and QB so I will swallow the 5.5 in Blacksburg. 31-20 Heels.
9/4- Indiana at Iowa -2.5 (-125)
Indiana is being overhyped after a year in which they greatly overachieved and I am below market on Hoosiers QB Michael Pennix. I think Iowa runs the ball effectively and doesn’t turn it over. 27-21 Iowa.
9/4- UL Lafayette at Texas -7.5 (-113)
Back at it with my Texas love. Although I understand the respect for UL Laf and coach Billy Napier, I think Sark wins with a more talented team at home week 1 after seeing Iowa State mishandle this game last year. I have seen this number come down since it was posted and 7.5 is too low. 33-23 Texas.
9/4- Georgia +160 vs Clemson
Really excited about this game. I think JT Daniels outplays DJU in an evenly matched neutral site game. +160 seems like a good deal to me. 31-27 Dawgs.